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** Biblical stories | ** Biblical stories | ||
** David Hume | ** David Hume | ||
=== Normalcy bias === | |||
* a bias towards continuation of what is or has normally been | |||
* given absence of change, a normalcy bias is accurate | |||
** only it's accurate until it's not | |||
* we can see across history when civilizations, peoples, or leaders counted on things "staying the same" | |||
** consequences can be | |||
*** catastrophic systemic breakdown without preparation for change | |||
**** examples include, Ancient Egypt, Roman Empire, various Chinese dynasties | |||
*** lack of social, economic, cultural, and technological advance | |||
**** which unto itself becomes a source of breakdown, esp. vis-a-vis competitive societies | |||
**** see "stability v. change" above | |||
=== Logical fallacies and tricks === | === Logical fallacies and tricks === |